Research Methods and Statistics
Christopher DiPietro, B.S.
Research Technician
Northeastern University
Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Joshua Curtiss, M.A., Ph.D.
Assistant Professor in Applied Psychology
Northeastern University
Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Background: Ecological momentary assessments (EMA) provide a more comprehensive and effective method of capturing real time measures of mood, activity, and mental health status. Although prior research has examined general temporal relationships across time-series measurements of affect and symptoms, little research has been pursued to uncover dynamic patterns in the structure of time-series data. In this study, recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) was used to examine patterns in the EMA responses of patients with emotional disorders across a two-week measurement window. RQA captures dynamic information within time-series data and can help highlight reoccurring patterns over time. These measures provide additional metrics by which to compare subjects and better understand the dynamics of their clinical presentation.
Methods: 33 Subjects completed a 2-week EMA protocol during which measures of specific mood states (Anxious, Cheerful, Content, Sad, and Upset) were assessed via smartphone 5 times per day. At the beginning and end of the two weeks, participants completed the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) and the State Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI). Four subjects were removed before analysis due to high degrees of missingness in their EMA responses ( > 40%), leaving a total of 29 subjects. RQA measures of percent recurrence (%REC = total number of repeating values/total number of measurements) and percent determinism (%DET = total number of repeating patterns/total number of measurements) were calculated for each of the five moods states. Correlations between these affect specific RQA measures and the BDI-II and STAI were examined to determine whether dynamic recurrence metrics are associated with clinical symptom outcomes.
Results: Both %REC (Anxious: mean=0.26, s.d.=0.06; Cheerful: mean=0.29, s.d.=0.13; Content: mean=0.29, s.d.=0.11; Sad: mean=0.38, s.d.=0.17; Upset: mean=0.47, s.d.=0.23) and %DET (Anxious: mean=0.49, s.d.=0.12; Cheerful: mean=0.51, s.d.=0.15; Content: mean=0.50, s.d.=0.13; Sad: mean=0.61, s.d.=0.18; Upset: mean=0.72, s.d.=0.19) demonstrated high percentage values and variability across affect states, suggestive of potentially meaningful individual differences. Correlation analyses revealed significant negative correlations between post-EMA BDI-II scores and Sad %REC (r=-0.48, p=0.009) and %DET (r=-0.43, p=0.02), and Upset %REC (r=-0.53, p=0.002) and %DET (r=-0.50, p=0.005). Post-EMA STAI scores were significantly negatively correlated with Upset %REC (r=-0.40, p=0.03) and %DET (r=-0.38, p=0.04). Overall, BDI-II and STAI scores at week 2 demonstrated larger correlation coefficients with RQA measures of negative affective states compared to positive states.
Discussion: The results of this analysis indicate that EMA data and corresponding RQA values of %REC and %DET can provide meaningful and significant information about idiographic dynamics in affective states. Higher levels of %REC and %DET correspond to more structured and stable patterns within time-series. Thus, individuals who had more stable responses on measures of negative affect showed fewer symptoms of depression and anxiety as opposed to subjects with higher degrees of variability in their responses.